link : Experts Offer Their Predictions On When The War In Ukraine Will End
Experts Offer Their Predictions On When The War In Ukraine Will End
Ukrainian service members ride atop of a BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicle near a frontline in Donetsk region, Ukraine, February 8. REUTERS/Yevhenii Zavhorodnii
Defense News: When will the war in Ukraine end? Experts offer their predictions
WASHINGTON and ROME — Germany’s promise early this year to send tanks to Ukraine marked the country’s latest concession and provided a cap to the gradual escalation in the kind of equipment allies were supplying.
Indeed, when Russia invaded Ukraine last February, its allies resisted pleas for offensive aid and followed a narrow definition of protective equipment. In Berlin, leaders initially shied away from aid that didn’t fit the German definition of “defensive.”
That’s changed, with Germany now pledging to deliver Leopard 2 battle tanks and approving other countries’ requests to
The evolving approach fits a conflict as fluid as it is unpredictable.
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WNU Editor: All of these experts agree that the war is going to last a long time. But what I think they do not realize is that while Western arms shipments to Ukraine will continue to fuel the war, the Ukraine that existed before the war does not exist anymore, and it will not return to its former self even if the conflict ends tomorrow. It is these dynamics that is going to shape how this war ends.
Before the war Ukraine had a population of about 41 million (excluding Crimea). After a year of war almost 10 million have fled the country, and 5 to 8 million are in regions that are now under Russian control. And if given a chance, millions of Ukrainian men who are not permitted to leave the country because of conscription, will flee the country to reunite with loved ones abroad if these restrictions are lifted.
And it gets worse.
Even if the war should end tomorrow, millions will immigrate because they see no future in a country that is economically destroyed and heavily indebted to the West. It is also going to be hard for many to continue to fight the war to reclaim lost territories, especially against an adversary that has a significant amount of support among the Russian speaking portions of Ukraine.
But there are still a lot of Ukrainians who are willing to continue the war, and they will fuel this conflict until the West says no more.
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