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link : Who Will Be The Next Canadian Prime Minister?
Who Will Be The Next Canadian Prime Minister?
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CTV: Trudeau attacks Tories for not releasing platform as leaders prepare for debate
OTTAWA -- Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau took aim at the Conservatives on Sunday for not releasing their election platform as the majority of federal party leaders spent the day cramming for Monday's critical English-language debate.
The debate is in Gatineau, Que., within sight of Parliament Hill. Trudeau and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh were the only two leaders to spend the day on the hustings shaking hands and, in Trudeau's case, attacking the Tories, though neither strayed far.
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WNU Editor: This weekend's tracking polls show the Liberal Party and Justin Trudeau ahead by a few percentage points. But when I looked at the sampling that was used in these polls, they lean very heavily in favour of the Liberal Party. This confirms to me what I have sensed since the beginning of this election. Pollsters have underestimated Conservative support in the past few Canadian provincial elections, and I think this is also in play in this election. Case in point, one poll shows only 25% believe Trudeau should get a second term .... POLL: Only 25% think Trudeau should get a second term (Toronto Sun). This low poll number usually means the end of a political leader.
But this does not mean the end of Prime Minister Trudeau. Even with his miscues his primary opponent, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer, has IMHO not been effective in this campaign. He has not gained the trust of independent and swing voters to support him, and even his base is not happy with him. Some of my friends who have voted for the Conservative Party in the past are not going to vote even though they dislike Justin Trudeau. This is not a good sign for Conservative leader Scheer. As for my friends who have voted Liberal in the past, I have noticed that their sentiments are even worst. They feel let down by Prime Minister Trudeau, and they have no burning desire to go to the polls to vote for him. Case in point. I live in a riding that has voted Liberal for decades. But in this round I have yet to see one Liberal placard on any home. It is almost as if these voters are ashamed to show to the neighbours that they support Trudeau.
As to what is ahead. This week is debate week. The candidates will be debating each other in an English debate Monday evening, and a few days later in a French debate. Swing voters usually make their final decision on who they will vote for after they have seen these debates, and I expect the same in this election. This time next week is when I will have a better read on who will be Canada's election. But for now, my gut is telling me that we are heading into a Conservative minority government when voters go to the polls on October 21.
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